Washington is abuzz with talk of a containment strategy to deter a newly aggressive Russia and punish it for challenging the post-cold war European order with its seizure of Crimea. Advocates point out that similar strategies succeeded in undermining the Soviet Union and bringing Iran to the negotiating table. No matter that success came after more than 40 years in the first case and a dozen in the second, following the Iran non-proliferation act of 2000. Containment is a strategy for the long term, for at least as long as Vladimir Putin remains in power. It will not work. Nor will it advance US interests.
華盛頓正在熱議一項遏制戰略，這一戰略旨在遏制近來咄咄逼人的俄羅斯，并懲罰其吞并克里米亞、以此挑戰冷戰后的歐洲秩序的行為。支持者們指出，類似的戰略成功瓦解了蘇聯，也曾讓伊朗走到談判桌前。不過，第一次的成功用了40多年，第二次是在《2000年伊朗核不擴散法案》出臺12年后才取得成果的。最起碼，只要弗拉基米爾?普京(Vladimir Putin)仍在掌權，遏制就是一項長期戰略。它不會奏效，也不會增強美國的利益。