Economists, it is said, have predicted eight of the past three recessions. So what about the latest warnings that a US double dip is imminent? Indicators galore support this conclusion but more sanguine analysts, who still represent Wall Street's consensus, accuse the glass-half-empty crowd of data-mining or ignoring other, more upbeat facts.
據說，經濟學家已經預測到了過去3次衰退中的8次。那么美國即將陷入雙底衰退的最新警告準確嗎？許多指標支持這種結論，但更樂觀的分析師——仍代表華爾街多數人意見——指責杞人憂天的一群人是在進行數據挖掘，或者忽視了其它更為樂觀的事實。
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