Not long ago, “most governments had believed that closer economic integration would promote long-term prosperity. Now, integration is seen as a source of risk and insecurity.” This is how London-based Capital Economics introduces an intriguing analysis of “the shape of the fractured world economy in 2024”. Economics and politics always interact. Today, however, politics has become more important. Its concept then is of a global economy being reshaped by fraught relations between the US and China.
不久前,“大多數國家政府還認為更緊密的經濟一體化將促進長期繁榮。而今,一體化被視為風險和不安全的來源?!笨偛课挥趥惗氐膭P投宏觀(Capital Economics)在對“2024年支離破碎的世界經濟形態”進行一項有趣分析時寫道。經濟和政治總是相互影響。然而,政治在今天已變得更加重要。換句話說,充滿風險的美中關系正在重塑全球經濟。