Promising a referendum on Britain’s place in Europe was always a rash gamble — a tactical swerve blind to the strategic consequences. The stakes have risen. The rest of Europe does not want to see the Brits depart, but the EU would muddle on. For the UK, the choice has become existential. If Britain leaves Europe, Scotland will leave Britain. The union of the United Kingdom would not long survive Brexit.
向英國人民許諾要讓他們就英國是否留在歐盟(EU)舉行公投，向來是場魯莽的賭博，這一戰術轉向忽視了戰略影響。賭注已經加碼。歐盟其他國家并不希望看到英國人離開，但歐盟會應付下去。對于英國來說，離不離開歐盟已成為事關生存的選擇。如果英國離開歐盟，蘇格蘭將離開英國。英國退出歐盟，聯合王國的聯盟也撐不了多久。
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