Global financial markets are being whipsawed by two events at opposite ends of the globe: the risk of Greece’s exit from the euro area (“Grexit”) and the potential scale of China’s economic slowdown. Grexit is transparent and easy to monitor – but also increasingly likely (we assign a 50-75 per cent probability).
全球金融市場正受到來自地球兩端的雙重打擊:“希臘退出歐元區”(Grexit)的風險,以及中國經濟放緩的可能程度。希臘退出歐元區的風險是透明而易于監控的,但這種可能性正日益加大(我們認為可能性在50%至75%之間)。
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