In recent weeks there has been intense speculation that in the event of a European Union oil embargo, Iran would try to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which flow 32 per cent of global oil exports and 28 per cent of global liquefied natural gas exports. Such an attempt is unlikely, although, to be clear, history suggests that sanctions would not work in constraining the Iranian regime.
最近幾周，坊間一直盛傳，一旦歐盟(EU)實行石油禁運，伊朗就會試圖封鎖霍爾木茲海峽。全球32%的石油出口和28%的液化天然氣出口都要經過霍爾木茲海峽。不過，伊朗采取這種措施的可能性不大，歷史經驗證明，用制裁來制約伊朗政權不管用。
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