Obvious bets tend to offer little reward. Investors may be tired of Spain's budget deficit woes, but its football team is already a well-backed favourite to win the World Cup in South Africa, which kicks off on Friday. Picking England to lose in the semi-final on penalties, at around 12-to-one odds, is perhaps a better balance of risk and reward. Looking for stock market kickers requires similar creativity.
結果顯而易見的押注往往沒有多大回報。投資者或許已經厭倦了西班牙的預算赤字危機，但他們卻大力支持該國足球隊，認為在本周五開幕的南非世界杯(World Cup)上，它將是奪冠熱門球隊。押注英格蘭隊將因點球在半決賽中敗北——賠率12-1左右——或許更好地平衡了風險與回報。尋找股市的“最佳球隊”需要同樣的創新思維。
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