The rare nature of this recession precludes a cyclically normal US recovery. Instead, we are consigned to a slow, painful climb-out, as are nations such as Japan and Mexico that depend on US demand. The implications for US policy include a likely second round of stimulus, much more federal capital for the banking system and stunning budget deficits that will slow key initiatives for President Barack Obama, such as healthcare and energy reform.
本次衰退的不尋常特性,排除了美國經濟正常周期性復蘇的可能性。相反,我們不得不接受一個緩慢而痛苦的擺脫衰退的過程,日本和墨西哥等依賴美國需求的國家也將如此。這對美國政策的影響包括:政府可能出臺第二輪經濟刺激計劃,向銀行系統投入更多聯邦資本金,以及令人驚嘆的預算赤字,這將放緩巴拉克?奧巴馬(Barack Obama)總統的一些關鍵舉措,如醫療和能源改革。
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