Investors have been raising their bets that next week’s US presidential election will trigger sharp price swings in bond and currency markets.
The Ice BofA Move Index, a closely watched gauge for future moves in the Treasury market, is up almost 40 per cent in October and hit its highest level in more than a year earlier this week.
“The most realistic near-term risk is the outcome of the election,” said Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income for PineBridge Investments.
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