The US is heading for a soft landing, as the economy expands while inflation drifts back to the Federal Reserve’s 2 per cent target, according to projections from economists polled by the Financial Times.
GDP growth will be 2.3 per cent in 2024 and 2 per cent in 2025, according to the median estimates by the economists polled in the FT-Chicago Booth survey.
Unemployment will rise to 4.5 per cent by the end of this year, slightly above the current rate of 4.2 per cent but still historically low, while the core personal expenditures index — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — will fall to 2.2 per cent from 2.6 in July, the economists predicted.
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