On a panel last November, OpenAI co-founder Sam Altman predicted there would be an artificial intelligence breakthrough in 2024 that no one saw coming. Google executive James Manyika agreed: “Plus one to that.”
Has the past year lived up to expectations? The summer sell-off in tech stocks reflected a sense that the adoption of AI would take longer than anticipated.
Manyika points to what has been achieved. Transformers — the technology underpinning large language models — have allowed Google Translate to more than double the number of languages it supports to 243. Google’s Gemini chatbot is able to switch seamlessly (at least in certain contexts) between text, photos and videos. It also allows users to enter ever more complex queries.