It is fair to say that faith in economists, and economic forecasts, has taken a hit in recent years. Part of that comes down to the unprecedented nature of shocks to the global economy, from the pandemic to geopolitical tensions and war. But a considerable element owes itself to macroeconomists’ sometimes blinkered focus on theoretical models.
公平地說，近年來，人們對經濟學家和經濟預測的信心受到了打擊。部分原因是全球經濟受到前所未有的沖擊，從新冠疫情到地緣政治緊張和戰爭。但這在很大程度上是因為，宏觀經濟學家有時過于狹隘地關注理論模型。
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